HCAOG 2002-04 RTP Update
A Program EIR was prepared and certified for the 1998-00 RTP (State Clearinghouse # 99032077). The EIR included descriptions of all the required elements. The California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) Guidelines provide several options for environmental documentation once an EIR has been prepared for a project or program. Where only minor changes occur to the project or program, an addendum to the previously certified EIR may be prepared. While there have been adjustments made to the projects and programs contained in the 2004 RTP Update, there is very limited financial resources to deliver projects, with the programmed projects that have been proposed in previous RTPs being the candidates for any future limited funding. In addition, projects in the RTP cover the same transportation modes as in previous RTPs. Therefore, an addendum is appropriate to meet the guidelines.
Humboldt County is included in the North Coast Air Basin along with Del Norte, Trinity and Mendocino Counties. These counties operate as a unified special district, or the North Coast Unified Air Quality Management District (NCUAQMD), which manages air resources in this mountainous, predominantly rural region.
Most major air pollutants in Humboldt County-especially for mobile sources-are well below what the state considers harmful. Sources of ozone precursor emissions are low enough that ozone smog does not rise to significant levels, even during periods of minimal air movement. The entirety of the North Coast Air Basin has been designated as "attainment" or "unclassified" for all criteria pollutants (carbon monoxide, ozone, sulfur oxides, and nitrogen dioxide) and is subject to "Prevention of Significant Deterioration" (PSD) permit procedures. Except for Redwood National Park , which is designated Class I, all of Humboldt County is designated as a Class II area.
Long term impacts on regional air quality are projected to increase at a slower rate than in the past, due to conversion to more efficient and lower emission vehicles and RTP plan policies and actions encouraging public transit use and conversion of transit vehicles to alternative fuels, and programs and improvements designed to increase bicycle and pedestrian system use.
Consultant staff spoke with Robert Torzynski, Planner at the North Coast Air District regarding the use of Emfac2002 V2.2 as the modeling tool for the calculation of future emissions in Humboldt County. The Emfac modeling tool for Humboldt County was acquired from the California Air Resource Board's (ARB) website. It should be noted that the ARB requires other Metropolitan Planning Organizations within California to use the Emfac model for making air quality conformity determinations. Mr. Torzynski commented that the Vehicle Miles Traveled estimate of 41% was conservative and in line with the small population increase expected within Humboldt County. In addition, he agreed with the model results of decreased vehicle emission over the next twenty years. Since the Emfac model predicts emissions based on the vehicle fleet over time, it is assumed cleaner vehicles will be on the road in twenty years. For instance, it is expected that fewer polluting vehicles from the 1970's era (10% of the vehicle fleet today) will be on the road.
Humboldt
County is currently listed as non-attainment for PM10 by the CARB. This status
continues to be impacted by the projected growth in region wide vehicle miles
of travel (VMT) and population. Table VI-1 shows the expected level of increase
in VMT and mobile emission levels if no improvements are made to the existing
transportation system.
Table
VI-1. Air Quality Analysis Without Improvements:
Peak Hour Levels
|
Category |
Existing Conditions (2003) |
Future Conditions (2025) |
% Change |
||
|
VMT* |
268,000 |
374,000 |
40% |
||
|
Pollutant: |
Tons/Year |
Tons/Year |
|
||
|
NO x |
0.57 |
3,562 |
0.15 |
909 |
-74% |
|
CO |
4.61 |
21,239 |
0.89 |
4,187 |
-80% |
|
PM10 |
0.01 |
87.6 |
0.02 |
84 |
-4% |
|
SO x |
0.00 |
21.9 |
0.00 |
11 |
-50% |
|
TOG |
0.53 |
2,486 |
0.13 |
646 |
-74% |
|
Total |
1.25 |
27,397 |
1.19 |
5,837 |
-79% |
|
*Peak
Hour Vehicle Miles of Travel Source:
Emfac2002 V2.2, VRPA Technologies 2003 |
|||||
There
is currently a Federal standard for the Fine Particulate Matter (PM2.5)
pollutant, but no state standard for California. The North Coast Unified Air
Quality Management District has been monitoring for this pollutant since
January 1999. The federal EPA
(http://www.epa.gov/oar/primer/timeline.htm) has provided the following
timeline for implementing the PM2.5 standards:
1998-2000 Monitors
for PM 2.5 put in place nationwide.
1998-2000 Collect
monitoring data.
2002- EPA
completes 5-year scientific review of particulate matter standards.
2002-2005 EPA
designates areas.
2005-2008 States
submit plans to EPA outlining how they will meet PM2.5 standards. States
needing reductions begin implementing programs.
2012-2017 Following
designation, states may have up to twelve years under the Clean Air Act to meet
PM2.5 standards.
Based
on the timeline shown above, it is not known what control measures, if any,
will apply to Humboldt County. However,
reduced motor vehicle emissions overall are expected to reduce emissions of
fine particulate matter, and thereby support attainment and or maintenance of
the federal PM2.5 standard.
Based
on the analysis in Table VI-2, daily regional VMT on freeways, arterials and
collectors is expected to increase 41 percent between 2003 and 2025. This represents an average annual increase
of 1.8 percent on the County’s state highway system. Although VMT is expected to increase the resulting emissions are
predicted to decrease due to cleaner vehicle emissions on the road by the year
2025.
Transportation
improvements from projects contained in the Action Element of the RTP will
further reduce emissions in the future as well as alleviate congestion in the
peak hours at peak locations.
Table
VI-2. Air Quality Analysis Without
Improvements: Total Daily Levels
|
3,346,000 |
4,715,000 |
40% |
|
|
Tons/Day |
Tons/Day |
|
|
|
9.76 |
2.49 |
-74% |
|
|
58.19 |
11.47 |
-80% |
|
|
0.24 |
0.23 |
-4% |
|
|
0.06 |
0.03 |
-50% |
|
|
6.81 |
1.77 |
-74% |
|
|
75.06 |
15.99 |
-79% |
|
|
*Daily
Vehicle Miles of Travel Source:
Emfac2002 V2.2, VRPA Technologies, 2003 |
|||